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Weekly Market Update

9/2/2025

 
As summer comes to its unofficial end, August provided another month of solid gains across markets. Q2 earnings generally surprised to the upside, which we view as the biggest reason for the continued rally in equity markets. Meanwhile, although there has been a softening of economic data, we saw GDP growth bounce back in the second quarter, and are once again seeing some early signs of life in what has been stagnant manufacturing data.

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Weekly Market Update

8/18/2025

 
Another week of solid equity market performance came and went, with the embattled small-cap stocks leading the way higher. Markets face a busy week, as several large retailers are set to report earnings and provide a gauge on the consumer. Meanwhile, Jerome Powell will speak at the Jackson Hole Symposium and provide guidance on monetary policy and possible Fed actions in the coming months.

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Weekly Market Update

8/11/2025

 
As earnings season winds down, stocks rebounded last week with solid gains. Earnings have generally been good as many of the largest companies continue to deliver profits even in the face of economic uncertainty. There does, however, seem to be a growing dichotomy within the economy, and ultimately the stock market. We are seeing AI capital expenditures increasing, providing the bulk of economic activity, as areas such as manufacturing, housing, and consumer spending have either been soft or look to be softening.

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Weekly Market Update

8/4/2025

 
After roughly a month without a +/- move of over 1% in the S&P 500, stock markets suffered a rude awakening last Friday. The combination of newly announced tariffs and a notable step down in labor markets had investors worried about the near-term trajectory of markets. July’s labor data came in softer than expected (73k jobs added vs. 104k median forecast), and there was a cumulative 158k downward revision to May and June jobs growth.

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Weekly Market Update

7/22/2025

 
Markets were mostly higher last week, as earnings reports started to pick up. Recently, it has been encouraging to see sectors outside of technology doing well. Financials kicked off earnings season, and have been one of the best-performing sectors this year, even as incumbents face an interesting future. Emerging is a new generation of crypto & blockchain-focused financial institutions that embrace the further digitization of the economy, and we are witnessing technological progress expand from the technology sector and into others.

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Weekly Market Update

7/14/2025

 
​In what was a relatively quiet week, markets were modestly lower across the board. New tariff announcements from the administration were met with a limited response in markets, as it seems most investors do not believe that the new Aug 1st deadlines will hold, or that the newly announced tariff rates will come into effect. Many negotiations are ongoing, and several trading partners have indicated a desire to reach deals before the end of the month. Meanwhile, this week will start to see things pick up as we get the latest inflation and retail sales data and earnings season kicks off in a bigger way, with many of the largest financial institutions reporting. We continue to expect to see somewhat sluggish, but still positive, economic data and ongoing corporate resilience through earnings data.

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Weekly Market Update

7/8/2025

 
It was another good week for stocks, capped off with the July 4th holiday. Last week, investors received some good news, as the June labor data showed higher than expected job growth, and the unemployment rate ticked down 0.1% to 4.1%. The coming weeks will be worth watching as several key events come into focus. This week, we will see the July 9th deadline for the tariff delays as the administration races to nail down trade deals with some countries and potentially extend the deadlines for others.

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Q2 2025 Market Update

7/7/2025

 
The quote below may have resonated more from mid-February through early April, when we were in the throes of a nearly 19% decline in the S&P 500. Now, with the benefit of hindsight, it serves as a reminder of the condition we all experience as investors. The tone of this commentary would have undoubtedly been different had we written it during that downturn.

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Weekly Market Update

6/30/2025

 
​It was a strong week for equity markets with stocks doing well across market caps and geographies. Many of the worries that plagued markets at various times during the first half of the year seem to have diminished. While there is still plenty of uncertainty, things seem to be better than feared. For stocks, it seems to always come down to the bottom line of earnings, and with a somewhat clearer tariff picture, it would appear that earnings will hold up relatively well in 2025. 

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Weekly Market Update

6/23/2025

 
Markets were again mixed last week, as external factors likely continue to play their part. The ongoing tensions in the Middle East have some investors on edge, and as the situation plays out stocks, bonds, and oil prices are likely to continue to fluctuate. Meanwhile, the Fed held rates
steady at their June meeting, as they remain in a holding pattern.

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​Information presented is for informational purposes only. StraightLine Group, LLC (“StraightLine”) is a registered investment adviser. Registration as an investment adviser does not imply a certain level of skill or training. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investing involves risk, including the possibility of loss of principal. The ideas and opinions expressed herein do not constitute legal, tax, or investment advice or a recommendation of any particular security or strategy. Before making any investment decision, you should seek expert, professional advice and obtain information regarding the legal, fiscal, regulatory and foreign currency requirements for any investment according to the laws of your home country and place of residence. Any forward-looking statements or forecasts are based on assumptions and actual results may vary. Information presented from third parties is believed to be reliable, but no warranty is provided. StraightLine is not required to update information presented, unless otherwise required by applicable law. For more information about StraightLine, including our Form ADV Part 2A Brochure, please visit https://adviserinfo.sec.gov/firm/summary/127401 or contact us at 248-269-8366.
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